智通财经网·2025-07-22 13:14Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities indicates that with the downstream sectors of industrial and automotive industries starting to replenish inventory, the demand for BCD Analog is expected to grow, leading to an increase in wafer foundry capacity utilization in the second quarter and the second half of the year [1] Group 1: Market Recovery and Capacity Utilization - The recovery in market conditions is expected to lead to a slight increase in mature process capacity utilization to over 75% [1] - According to TrendForce, the shipment of end markets such as smartphones, PCs/laptops, and servers is projected to recover with year-on-year growth by 2025, supported by replenishment demand from automotive and industrial sectors after inventory corrections throughout 2024 [1] - In the first quarter, the capacity utilization rates for 8-inch and 12-inch wafers at SMIC showed an overall increase of 4.1%, reaching above 90% [1] Group 2: Capacity Expansion and Local for Local Trend - SMIC is expected to achieve an annual increase of approximately 50,000 12-inch wafer capacity, with capital expenditure for 2025 projected to remain around $7.5 billion, consistent with the previous year [2] - Advanced packaging capacity, led by fab plants, is becoming scarce, as advanced packaging relies on chip manufacturing capabilities that are the strong suit of fab plants rather than traditional packaging and testing factories [2] - The integration of advanced packaging services into fab plants is creating ecological barriers, as high-performance chip design and packaging are becoming increasingly intertwined [2]