CBRE(US:CBRE) 智通财经网·2025-07-22 13:31Core Viewpoint - The "Urban Student Housing Scheme" announced by the Hong Kong Development Bureau and the Education Bureau provides a structured response to long-standing issues in the private market, particularly benefiting mid-range hotels during the current market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Opportunities for Property Types - The scheme presents new opportunities for mid-range hotels, which can be converted into dormitories with relatively simple modifications, such as adding central kitchens and movable furniture [1]. - In contrast, converting commercial buildings requires significant capital investment for room partitioning, mechanical system upgrades, and compliance with fire safety regulations [1]. - The expected application volume from existing hotels is anticipated to be higher than that from commercial properties due to the lower conversion costs [1]. Group 2: Key Factors for Success - The location of properties is crucial for the success of the scheme, with higher feasibility for conversions near schools and MTR stations [1]. - Popular areas for potential conversions include Hung Hom, the Western District of Hong Kong Island, and Sha Tin [1]. Group 3: Regulatory Considerations - The scheme includes a significant restriction where existing owners must notify the government and current tenants at least six months in advance if they intend to sell the dormitory property [2]. - Potential buyers must sign a declaration to continue operating the property as a dormitory, ensuring stability for students and schools [2]. - The scheme also prohibits the sale of dormitory rooms in a subdivided manner, although this restriction is not enforced through government land lease conditions, allowing some flexibility for investors [2]. Group 4: Market Impact and Projections - Currently, approximately 3.4% of hotel inventory has been converted to co-living or student dormitory use [2]. - The hotel supply is expected to grow minimally from 2025 to 2030, with an average annual growth rate of only 0.1% [2]. - The implementation of the "Urban Student Housing Scheme" is projected to further reduce overall hotel inventory, leading to an expected annual price increase of about 5% over the next three years [2].