Sensata (ST) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Viewpoint - Sensata (ST) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, which could significantly influence its stock price depending on the actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for July 29, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts quarterly earnings of $0.84 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.7%, with revenues expected to be $933.26 million, down 9.9% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.55% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Sensata is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +2.27%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10]. - Sensata currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a high likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Sensata exceeded the expected earnings of $0.72 per share by delivering $0.78, resulting in a surprise of +8.33% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While Sensata is positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].