Graphic Packaging(US:GPK) ZACKSยท2025-07-22 15:07Core Viewpoint - Graphic Packaging (GPK) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 29, and if the key numbers exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.41 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 31.7%, while revenues are projected at $2.18 billion, down 2.6% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.56%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Graphic Packaging aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Graphic Packaging currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Graphic Packaging was expected to earn $0.56 per share but only achieved $0.51, resulting in a surprise of -8.93% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, Graphic Packaging does not appear to be a strong candidate for such an outcome, and investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].