Crude Oil Price Forecast: Slides Below 50-Day Average Amid Bearish Pressure

Group 1 - The 50-Day support line is currently at risk, having been tested twice since the breakout in June, with the first test resulting in a bullish hammer candlestick pattern [1] - A significant resistance was encountered at the 200-Day moving average after a sharp advance, indicating a successful test of resistance at the lower rising trend channel [1] - A bear flag pattern was triggered with the breakdown below the lower channel line, indicating potential bearish momentum [1] Group 2 - There is a notable support zone between $65.65 and $65.00, which has previously acted as both support and resistance, including an AVWAP level from the April low [2] - Crude oil found support and bounced from the AVWAP line during a sharp drop from the trend high four weeks ago, reinforcing the significance of this support zone [2] Group 3 - A decisive decline below $65.00 could lead to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $64.50, with a potential further decline to the 78.6% retracement at $60.71 [3] - An ABCD pattern suggests a potential target of $64.42, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, indicating a critical price area for future movements [3] - The behavior of the market after reaching the $64.50 area will be crucial, as strong support may lead to a bounce, with recovery speed of the 50-Day MA being a determining factor [3]