Sell Union Pacific Stock Ahead Of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Core Insights - Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP) is expected to announce earnings on July 24, 2025, with historical trends indicating a pattern of negative one-day returns post-announcement [1][2] - Analysts project earnings of $2.90 per share and revenues of $6.15 billion for the upcoming quarter, reflecting growth from the previous year's earnings of $2.74 per share and revenues of $6.01 billion [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $136 billion, with $24 billion in revenue, $9.7 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $6.7 billion over the past twelve months, indicating strong operational profitability [3] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Union Pacific's stock has experienced a decrease on the day following earnings announcements in 55% of cases, with a median drop of -2.4% and a maximum decline of -6.8% [1][6] - Positive one-day returns occurred approximately 45% of the time, with the median of positive returns being 2.1% and the median of negative returns being -2.4% [6] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical odds and evaluate the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to guide their strategies [5][7] - A strategy involving the correlation between one-day and five-day returns can be employed, where a positive one-day return may lead to a long position for the subsequent five days [7]