Scotts Miracle-Gro(US:SMG) ZACKSยท2025-07-23 15:07Core Viewpoint - Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending June 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $2.19 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 5.2%, while revenues are projected to be $1.23 billion, an increase of 2.4% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.32% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Scotts is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.81%, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Scotts was expected to post earnings of $3.95 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $3.98, resulting in a surprise of +0.76%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, other factors may influence stock movement, and Scotts does not currently appear to be a compelling earnings-beat candidate [15][17].