Earnings Preview: AerCap (AER) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Company Overview - AerCap (AER) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with a projected EPS of $2.81, reflecting a decrease of 6.6% compared to the previous year [3] - Revenue is anticipated to be $2.02 billion, which represents a 3.2% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for July 30, and the stock price may react positively if the results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for AerCap is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.85%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12] - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, AerCap holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AerCap exceeded the expected EPS of $2.69 by delivering $3.68, resulting in a surprise of +36.80% [13] - Over the past four quarters, AerCap has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Context - In the Zacks Transportation - Equipment and Leasing industry, Herc Holdings (HRI) is expected to report an EPS of $1.29, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 50.4% [18] - Herc Holdings' revenue is projected to be $987.76 million, up 16.5% from the previous year, but the company has a negative Earnings ESP of 0% and a Zacks Rank of 5, indicating a challenging outlook [19][20]