Humana (HUM) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Company Overview - Humana (HUM) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings of 9.2%, with an estimated EPS of $6.32 for the quarter ended June 2025, while revenues are projected to increase by 8.2% to $31.78 billion [3][12] - The earnings report is scheduled for release on July 30, and the actual results will significantly influence the stock price depending on whether they meet or exceed expectations [2][12] Earnings Estimates and Trends - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.14% over the last 30 days, indicating a slight reassessment by analysts [4] - Humana's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +10.51%, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Humana exceeded the expected EPS of $9.98 by delivering $11.58, resulting in a surprise of +16.03% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Humana has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14] Industry Context - UnitedHealth Group (UNH), another player in the Zacks Medical - HMOs industry, is expected to report a year-over-year EPS decline of 27.4%, with revenues projected at $111.6 billion, up 12.9% [18] - UnitedHealth's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.5% in the last 30 days, leading to a negative Earnings ESP of -13.1%, combined with a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [19]