Zheng Quan Ri Bao·2025-07-23 16:54Core Viewpoint - The A-share securities sector has been actively rising due to multiple favorable factors, including better-than-expected earnings, increased capital allocation, and business innovation [1][2]. Group 1: Performance - The securities sector saw a rise of over 6% from July 1 to July 23, with individual stocks like Zhongyin Securities leading with a 29.28% increase [1]. - Major listed brokers are expected to report significant profit growth, with Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities forecasting a net profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 205% to 218% [1]. - Other firms like Guolian Minsheng and Huaxi Securities are also expected to see over 1000% year-on-year growth in net profit [1]. Group 2: Capital Allocation - Public funds significantly increased their allocation to securities stocks in the second quarter, with the proportion of active equity funds holding securities stocks rising by 0.28 percentage points to 0.64% [1][2]. - The top five A-share securities stocks held by active equity funds as of the end of the second quarter were Huatai Securities, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Guotai Junan, and China Galaxy, with holdings of 2.1 billion, 1.7 billion, 1.5 billion, 700 million, and 500 million yuan respectively [2]. Group 3: Business Innovation - The exploration of virtual asset businesses has emerged as a new highlight in the industry, with firms like Guotai Junan, Tianfeng Securities, and Dongfang Wealth entering the virtual asset trading service market through their Hong Kong subsidiaries [2]. - Analysts believe that the securities sector's valuation is currently low, with a price-to-book ratio of approximately 1.5, indicating a potential for valuation recovery [2]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The securities sector is viewed as a preferred allocation direction in the market due to its "low valuation + high elasticity" appeal, with analysts optimistic about future performance [2]. - The framework for high-quality development in the securities industry is taking shape, with a focus on mergers and acquisitions, wealth management transformation, and innovation in licensing [3].