Core Viewpoint - A governance initiative against "involution" is gaining momentum in various traditional industries in China, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology implementing a new round of growth stabilization plans for ten key industries, including steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials [1] Group 1: Industry Response - The steel, non-ferrous metals, and building materials industries are responding quickly with production cuts, indicating a proactive approach to the new policies [1] - The policies aim to eliminate ineffective supply and enhance industry concentration, suggesting a better development environment for quality enterprises [2] Group 2: Structural Opportunities - The steel industry is expected to benefit significantly from high-barrier, high-value-added special steel due to the trend of high-quality economic development and new productivity [2] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, the implementation of policies is anticipated to optimize supply structure and improve efficiency across the industry chain, leading to a mid-term recovery in capacity profits [2] - The building materials industry is poised to benefit from ongoing favorable real estate policies, with leading companies expected to achieve sustained growth through channel optimization and product diversification [2] Group 3: Market Performance - Market enthusiasm has surged, with 68 stocks in the steel, non-ferrous metals, and building materials sectors projected to see a year-on-year net profit increase in the first half of 2025, including 22 companies expected to turn losses into profits [3] - Notable profit growth is reported for companies like Sanhe Pile and Northern Rare Earth, with Sanhe Pile's net profit expected to increase by 30.91 to 38.89 times, driven by product matrix richness and cost control [3] Group 4: Capital Inflow - The improvement in performance has led to a significant influx of market capital, with the aforementioned 68 stocks averaging a 15.82% increase in July, and some stocks like Liugang Co. and Shenghe Resources seeing cumulative gains exceeding 40% [5] - As of July 23, 23 stocks had rolling P/E ratios below 30, indicating perceived undervaluation, with companies like Huaxin Cement and Zijin Mining in the 10-15 P/E range [5] - Financing activities have also increased, with several stocks, including Zijin Mining and Huayou Cobalt, seeing net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since July [5]
“反内卷”大幕拉开,资金抢筹钢铁、有色、建材行业股票