欧洲央行料将暂缓降息 静观特朗普关税影响

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain interest rates at 2% during its upcoming decision, marking the first pause in over a year as policymakers assess the impact of Trump's tariff policies on inflation [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Decision - The ECB is anticipated to keep the deposit rate unchanged at 2% based on a survey where all but two economists predict this outcome [1] - Most economists expect a 25 basis point rate cut in September, coinciding with potential trade agreement developments between the US and Europe [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook and Divergence in Policy - ECB officials generally agree on pausing the monetary easing cycle that has lasted for a year, but there are differing views on future policy directions [1] - Some officials express concern that inflation may fall below the 2% target again, advocating for further easing, while others warn that increased fiscal spending could lead to higher prices in the future [1]