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Chipotle Q2 Earnings Top, Revenues Lag Estimates, Stock Down

Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) reported second-quarter 2025 results with earnings exceeding estimates but revenues falling short, leading to a decline in share price by 10.6% in after-hours trading due to negative investor sentiment [1][2]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were $0.33, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.32, but down 2.9% from $0.34 in the prior-year quarter [3][9]. - Quarterly revenues reached $3.06 billion, missing the consensus mark of $3.1 billion by 1.2%, although this represented a 3% year-over-year increase driven by new restaurant openings [3][9]. Comparable Sales and Transactions - Comparable restaurant sales fell 4% in Q2, a significant decline from the 11.1% growth reported in the same quarter last year, primarily due to a 4.9% decrease in transactions, partially offset by a 0.9% increase in average checks [4]. Restaurant Openings - The company opened 61 new company-owned restaurants in the second quarter, with 47 featuring a Chipotlane, contributing to higher sales and better margins [5][9]. - Chipotle plans to open between 315 and 345 new locations in 2025, with over 80% expected to include a Chipotlane [11]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Food, beverage, and packaging costs as a percentage of revenues were 28.9%, an improvement from 29.4% in the prior-year quarter, driven by menu price increases and cost efficiencies, despite inflation in ingredient costs [6]. - The restaurant-level operating margin decreased to 27.4% from 28.9% in the prior-year period [7]. Net Income and Balance Sheet - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $450.4 million, down from $463 million in the prior-year quarter [7]. - As of June 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $844.5 million, an increase from $748.5 million at the end of 2024 [8]. 2025 Outlook - Management anticipates comparable sales to remain roughly flat for 2025, a revision from earlier projections of low-single-digit growth [11].