Earnings Preview: Huntington Ingalls (HII) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Huntington Ingalls (HII) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Huntington Ingalls is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.23 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 26.3% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $2.93 billion, indicating a decline of 1.6% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.56% higher in the last 30 days, suggesting a slight positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Huntington Ingalls is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.29%, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts [10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [7]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a solid Zacks Rank have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [7]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Huntington Ingalls exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $3.79 per share against an expected $2.90, resulting in a surprise of +30.69% [11]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [12]. Conclusion - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Huntington Ingalls does not appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome based on current estimates and revisions [15].