Invitation Homes to Report Q2 Earnings: What to Expect From the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Invitation Homes (INVH) is expected to report an increase in revenues and funds from operations (FFO) per share for the second quarter of 2025, with results anticipated on July 30, after market close [1][11]. Company Performance - In the last reported quarter, INVH achieved a core FFO per share of 48 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 47 cents, driven by higher same-store net operating income (NOI) and blended rent, although lower occupancy impacted performance [2][12]. - Over the past four quarters, INVH's core FFO per share met or exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with an average beat of 1.08% [3]. U.S. Apartment Market Overview - The U.S. apartment market showed resilience in Q2 2025, absorbing over 227,000 units, surpassing previous peak leasing surges despite economic uncertainties [4]. - National occupancy rose to 95.6% in June, a 140 basis point increase year-over-year, while rent growth remained muted at 0.19% [5]. - More than 535,000 units were completed in the past year, with 108,000 delivered in Q2, indicating the market's strength in absorbing new supply [6]. Regional Market Dynamics - Tech-driven markets like San Francisco, San Jose, Boston, and New York gained momentum, while Sun Belt markets such as Dallas and Atlanta showed recovery [7]. - Tourism-dependent cities like Las Vegas and Orlando experienced slight declines, reflecting softening discretionary spending, while supply-heavy markets like Austin and Phoenix saw significant rent cuts [7]. Factors Supporting Invitation Homes - INVH's performance is likely bolstered by its diverse portfolio of single-family rental units in high-growth markets, supported by favorable demographic trends [8]. - The company's asset-light model, partnering with homebuilders for built-to-rent units, provides healthy yields with limited risk, contributing positively to revenues [9]. Revenue Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for INVH's rental revenues is projected at $654.09 million for Q2, up from $576.87 million in the prior year, while total revenues are estimated at $676.86 million, reflecting a 3.58% increase year-over-year [10][11]. - The consensus estimate for FFO per share remains unchanged at 48 cents, indicating a 2.13% year-over-year increase [12]. Earnings Prediction - The current Earnings ESP for INVH is -1.79%, with a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating that the model does not predict a surprise in FFO per share this quarter [13].