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机构:有美联储在 美国经济不会重返1970年代的“大滞胀”时期
news flash·2025-07-25 07:37

Core Viewpoint - The fear of returning to the "stagflation" era of the 1970s due to tariff-induced price increases is deemed incorrect by Clearwater Analytics' research head Matthew Jeffrey Vegari, as the current economic conditions do not exhibit high unemployment, a key characteristic of stagflation [1] Economic Growth and Unemployment - Although economic growth in the U.S. may face challenges in the next couple of years, the consensus indicates that high unemployment, a hallmark of stagflation, is currently absent [1] - The Federal Reserve's ability to cool down an overheating economy without triggering a recession is praised, suggesting effective monetary policy [1] Future Inflation and Employment Trends - There may be a future period where inflation and unemployment rise simultaneously, but it is asserted that the current Federal Reserve will prevent a situation as severe as that of the 1970s, and high inflation is not expected to persist [1]