Royal Gold (RGLD) Loses 13.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner

Core Viewpoint - Royal Gold (RGLD) has experienced a significant downtrend, with a 13.6% decline over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to improved earnings expectations from analysts [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to identify oversold conditions, with a reading below 30 indicating that a stock may be oversold [2]. - RGLD's current RSI reading is 28.19, indicating that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, which could lead to a price rebound [5]. - The RSI helps investors identify potential entry points for stocks that have fallen below their fair value due to excessive selling [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Indicators - There is a strong consensus among sell-side analysts regarding RGLD, with a 2.4% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating positive earnings revisions [7]. - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions typically correlates with price appreciation in the near term [7]. - RGLD holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, further supporting the potential for a near-term turnaround [8].