CNH Industrial (CNH) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - CNH Industrial (CNH) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on its near-term stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 57.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $4.53 billion, down 17.6% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.31% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for CNH is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.59%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - CNH currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CNH was expected to post earnings of $0.09 per share but exceeded expectations with earnings of $0.10, resulting in a surprise of +11.11% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, CNH has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Industry Comparison - Agco (AGCO), a competitor in the manufacturing - farm equipment industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.06 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -58.1% [18]. - Agco's revenues are projected to be $2.48 billion, down 23.6% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised 1.3% upward in the last 30 days, but it has a negative Earnings ESP of -0.47% [19].