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Devon or Diamondback Energy: Which Stock Offers Better Value in 2025?
ZACKS·2025-07-25 16:01

Industry Overview - The Zacks Oil and Gas Exploration and Production – United States industry is crucial to the U.S. energy framework, focusing on identifying and extracting oil and gas reserves [2] - The U.S. is a leading global producer of oil and natural gas, with significant production areas including the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford [2] - Innovations like hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have significantly boosted domestic production, reducing reliance on imports [2] Environmental and Regulatory Challenges - The industry is facing increasing environmental challenges, stricter regulations, and a global shift towards renewable energy [3] - Volatile commodity prices impact investment decisions and operational strategies [3] - U.S. E&P companies are enhancing efficiency, reducing emissions, and adopting sustainable practices to remain competitive [3] Company Profiles Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) - Devon Energy is recognized as a top-tier U.S. onshore oil and gas producer with a diversified asset base and strong capital management [4] - The company consistently generates robust free cash flow and engages in shareholder-friendly initiatives, including a variable dividend program [4] - Devon's low-cost operating structure and strong balance sheet position it well to benefit from ongoing hydrocarbon demand [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 14.11% for 2025, with a modest growth of 2.09% for 2026 [7] - Devon's current ROE is 21.9%, outperforming both Diamondback Energy and the industry average of 16.74% [13] - The company plans to invest between $3.7 billion and $3.9 billion in capital expenditures for 2025 [19] - Devon Energy trades at a lower EV/EBITDA of 3.6X compared to Diamondback's 6.84X [16] Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) - Diamondback Energy is a low-cost operator in the Permian Basin, focusing on capital discipline and shareholder value [5] - The company has high-margin assets and consistently produces strong free cash flow [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 19.19% for 2025 and 12.63% for 2026 [10] - Diamondback's current ROE is 11.22%, which is lower than Devon's [13] - The company has reduced its 2025 capital budget by $400 million, resulting in a total investment range of $3.4 billion to $3.8 billion [19] Financial Metrics Comparison - Devon Energy's dividend yield is 2.88%, while Diamondback Energy's is 2.75%, both exceeding the S&P 500's yield of 1.46% [12] - Devon has a debt to capital ratio of 36.24%, compared to Diamondback's 23.74% [14] - Devon's liquidity ratio is 1.08, indicating sufficient liquidity to meet near-term obligations, while Diamondback's is 0.86 [14] Conclusion - Devon Energy is favored due to its multi-basin portfolio, cheaper valuation, higher dividend yield, and better ROE compared to Diamondback Energy [21]