CoreWeave vs. Amazon: Which AI Infra Stock Has More Upside Right Now?

CoreWeave Overview - CoreWeave provides specialized GPU-accelerated infrastructure for AI through 33 data centers with 420 megawatts of active power across the US and Europe [2] - The company announced a $6 billion investment for a new data center in Lancaster, PA, with an initial capacity of 100 megawatts, scalable to 300 megawatts [2] - CoreWeave has a revenue backlog of $259 billion, including a significant $11.9 billion deal with OpenAI and a $4 billion expansion agreement with a major AI client [5][9] Amazon Overview - Amazon's AWS is a market leader in cloud computing and is aggressively expanding into AI infrastructure, launching custom AI chips and strengthening partnerships with companies like NVIDIA [9][12] - AWS revenues grew 17% year over year in Q1 2025, with an annualized revenue run rate of $117 billion and a backlog of $189 billion [10][11] - Amazon's AI business operates at a multi-billion-dollar annual revenue run rate with triple-digit percentage growth year over year [12] Market Position and Performance - CoreWeave is positioned to benefit from the AI infrastructure boom, with a forecasted global economic impact of AI reaching $20 trillion by 2030 and a total addressable market of $400 billion by 2028 [4] - Amazon's AWS is well-poised to benefit from AI demand at scale, with significant investments in generative AI and custom silicon development [11][12] - Over the past month, AMZN shares gained 6.9%, while CRWV stock declined by 24.1% [15] Financial Metrics and Valuation - CoreWeave's stock is trading at a Price/Book ratio of 30.22X, while Amazon's is at 8.06X, indicating that both companies are considered overvalued [19][17] - Analysts have kept earnings estimates unchanged for CoreWeave, while there has been a marginal upward revision for Amazon [20][22] Investment Outlook - Amazon is viewed as a more stable and diversified investment in AI cloud infrastructure, with AWS as a high-growth engine [22] - CoreWeave, while specialized in AI infrastructure, faces execution risks due to high capital expenditures and customer concentration, with 77% of its 2024 revenue coming from its top two clients [8][9]