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Homebuilding Headwinds Putting These 3 Stocks Under Pressure
KB HomeKB Home(US:KBH) MarketBeatยท2025-07-27 14:49

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 has seen a broad rally, but the homebuilding sector is struggling due to high mortgage rates, rising construction costs, and regulatory pressures [1] Group 1: Factors Affecting Homebuilders - High mortgage rates have persisted, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fluctuating between 6.5% and 7% for nearly two years, significantly higher than the 2.67% seen in December 2020 [5] - Tariffs on construction materials such as steel, copper, and lumber are increasing costs, with year-over-year increases of 13.6% for fabricated steel plates, 15.1% for metal molding and trim, 18.9% for softwood lumber, and 24.2% for machinery equipment and parts [5] - An immigration crackdown is leading to labor shortages, particularly in the South and Midwest, where undocumented workers make up a significant portion of the construction workforce [4] Group 2: Market Performance and Company Analysis - D.R. Horton Inc. reported earnings that beat expectations, but year-over-year numbers still showed a decline, indicating potential challenges ahead for the sector [8] - NVR Inc. is facing headwinds due to its asset-light model and reliance on subcontractors, with expectations of further year-over-year declines in earnings [11] - Lennar Corp. is vulnerable due to its high-volume strategy, which is sensitive to macroeconomic pressures, and reported a 4.4% drop in year-over-year revenue [14] - KB Home, focusing on first-time buyers, is particularly affected by high prices and mortgage rates, with a reported revenue drop of 10.5% year-over-year [17]