欧洲央行管委Kazimir：不认为有任何因素会迫使欧洲央行在9月就提前降息。预先承诺政策路径将是愚蠢的错误。贸易协定是利好消息，有助于消除不确定性。劳动力市场若遭受重大冲击，或迫使欧央行采取行动。通胀上行风险持续存在，需保持高度警惕。

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) is not expected to lower interest rates prematurely in September, as there are no compelling factors to warrant such a move [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - The commitment to a predetermined policy path is deemed a foolish mistake [1] - The ongoing risks of rising inflation necessitate a high level of vigilance [1] Group 2: Economic Conditions - Trade agreements are viewed as positive news that can help reduce uncertainty [1] - A significant shock to the labor market could compel the ECB to take action [1]