Sell JetBlue Stock Ahead Of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Core Insights - JetBlue Airways is expected to report earnings on July 29, 2025, with a historical trend of negative one-day returns post-earnings announcements, occurring in 80% of cases, with a median decline of -5.9% [2][3][7] - Analysts forecast a loss of $0.33 per share on revenues of $2.29 billion for the upcoming quarter, a decline from the previous year's earnings of $0.08 per share on revenues of $2.43 billion [3][4] - JetBlue's current market capitalization is approximately $1.5 billion, with total revenue of $9.2 billion over the past twelve months, but it has incurred operational losses of $110 million and a net loss of $287 million [4] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, JetBlue has recorded 20 earnings data points, with only 4 positive one-day returns, indicating a 20% success rate, which drops to 17% when considering the last three years [7] - The median of the 4 positive returns is 2.7%, while the median of the 16 negative returns is -5.9% [7] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities, while post-earnings analysis can help in understanding the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns [6][8] - Correlation between 1D, 5D, and 21D returns can guide trading strategies, particularly if strong correlations are identified [8][9]