Procter & Gamble: Buy PG Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Core Insights - Procter & Gamble (P&G) is set to announce its earnings on July 29, 2025, with historical data indicating a strong likelihood of positive one-day returns post-announcement, occurring in 70% of cases [2][6] - The analysts' consensus for the upcoming quarter is earnings of $1.42 per share on revenues of $20.85 billion, reflecting modest growth expectations compared to the previous year's earnings of $1.40 per share on revenues of $20.53 billion [3] - P&G currently has a market capitalization of approximately $372 billion, with $84 billion in revenue over the past year, $20 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $15 billion [4] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, P&G has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 14 positive and 6 negative one-day returns, resulting in a median increase of 2.2% for positive returns and a median decrease of -2.9% for negative returns [6] - The probability of positive one-day returns drops to 67% when considering the last three years instead of five [6] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical trends to position themselves ahead of earnings releases or analyze post-earnings returns to inform their trading strategies [5][7] - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be effective, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns show a strong correlation [7][8]