Earnings Preview: Trex (TREX) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - Trex (TREX) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Trex's quarterly earnings is $0.71 per share, reflecting an 11.3% decrease year-over-year. Revenues are projected to be $377.91 million, which is a 0.4% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.95% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that Trex's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.07%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [12]. Historical Performance - Trex has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters. In the most recent quarter, it reported earnings of $0.60 per share against an expectation of $0.58, achieving a surprise of +3.45% [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While Trex does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors are advised to consider other factors that may influence stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].