Should You Buy, Sell or Hold Roku Stock Ahead of Q2 Earnings?

Core Insights - Roku is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with projected total net revenues of approximately $1.07 billion, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase [1][2] - Platform revenues are anticipated to grow by 14% year-over-year, while Devices revenues are expected to decline by 10% year-over-year [1][8] - The company aims for a total gross profit of around $465 million and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $70 million for the first quarter [1] Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter revenues stands at $1.07 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 10.79% [2] - Devices revenues are estimated at $129 million, while Platform revenues are projected at $943 million for the second quarter [13] Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for loss is set at 16 cents per share, which represents a year-over-year growth of 33.33% [2] - Roku has an Earnings ESP of +7.41% and holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [6] Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, Roku achieved an earnings surprise of 29.63%, consistently beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the previous four quarters with an average surprise of 51.15% [5] Strategic Partnerships - Roku has formed partnerships with major companies like Airbnb, Walmart, Amazon, and Adobe, which are expected to enhance its advertising and streaming business [7][8] - The collaboration with Amazon Ads allows Roku to access 80 million U.S. Connected TV households, strengthening its advertising capabilities [11] User Engagement and Subscriptions - Roku has reported significant growth in user engagement, with The Roku Channel experiencing an 84% year-over-year increase in streaming hours [9] - The acquisition of Frndly TV is anticipated to contribute to subscription growth, positively impacting Platform revenues [10] Market Performance - Roku's shares have increased by 25.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the S&P 500 index, which grew by 10% and 8.2%, respectively [14] Valuation Metrics - Roku currently trades at a price-to-cash flow ratio of 42.49X, significantly higher than the industry average of 32.84X, indicating high growth expectations from investors [17] Investment Considerations - The company demonstrates strong platform fundamentals with robust user engagement and expanding partnerships, positioning it well for continued growth [20] - Innovations in monetization and successful collaborations highlight Roku's adaptability in the evolving streaming landscape [21]