Ultragenyx Represents 'Intriguing Buying Opportunity,' Despite Recent Setbacks

Core Viewpoint - HC Wainwright has initiated coverage on Ultragenyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. with a Buy rating and a price target of $80, highlighting it as an attractive investment opportunity despite a 35% year-to-date decline in its stock price compared to a 2.7% decline in the XBI index [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance and Trials - Ultragenyx's stock has faced pressure primarily due to investor disappointment regarding the interim results from the pivotal Orbit trial of UX143 (setrusumab) for osteogenesis imperfecta [2]. - The Phase 3 portion of the Orbit study is progressing towards a final analysis by the end of the year, with the second interim analysis not meeting the minimal p-value threshold to conclude the study early [3]. - The analyst believes the Orbit trial has not failed, and positive final results are anticipated, which should support a U.S. regulatory filing for setrusumab next year [4]. Group 2: Commercial Portfolio and Future Prospects - Ultragenyx's current commercial portfolio is estimated to support a fair value of approximately $35-$40 per share, excluding the potential contributions from its pipeline [4]. - The flagship Crysvita franchise is projected to achieve peak annual sales exceeding $3 billion [5]. - The company is expected to resubmit its Biologics License Application (BLA) for UX111 (ABO-102) later this year, with potential approval anticipated by mid-2026, addressing a high unmet need in the Sanfilippo syndrome market [6][7].