Baxter Q2 Preview: Can Core Segments Deliver Another Solid Quarter?

Core Viewpoint - Baxter International Inc. is set to announce its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with expectations of moderate growth despite a projected decline in revenues and earnings compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Q2 Estimates - The consensus estimate for revenues is $2.82 billion, reflecting a 26.1% decline from the prior year's quarter [2]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is 60 cents per share, indicating an 11.8% year-over-year decline [2]. - The model estimates total revenues from continuing operations to improve by 1.3% at constant currency to $2.81 billion, with adjusted earnings per share expected to decline 11.4% to 60 cents [2]. Important Factors to Note - Baxter is anticipated to report moderate growth supported by strong execution across core segments and easing operational challenges [3]. - Sales from continuing operations grew 5% in the first quarter, driven by the Medical Products & Therapies and Healthcare Systems & Technologies segments [3]. - For Q2, the company expects reported sales growth of approximately 4% to 5% and operational growth in the 1% to 2% range [3]. Margin Profile - Baxter's adjusted operating margin improved by 260 basis points year-over-year to 14.9%, aided by strong top-line delivery and lower SG&A expenses [4]. - The margin stability is expected to continue due to operational efficiencies and ongoing cost containment initiatives [4]. Operational Performance - The completion of Baxter's transformation strategy, including the spin-offs of the Kidney Care and BioPharma Solutions businesses, has streamlined its portfolio [5]. - Management expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of 59 to 63 cents, building on the 55 cents reported in the previous quarter [5]. Recovery from Hurricane Helene - Manufacturing at the North Cove facility has returned to pre-hurricane levels, allowing for inventory replenishment and reduced product allocations [6]. - The company anticipates normalized ordering patterns as IV solution product allocations are removed [6]. Segmental Overview - The Medical Products & Therapies segment reported a 6% operational growth in Q1, with sales reaching $1.3 billion, driven by the U.S. infusion systems portfolio [7][9]. - The Healthcare Systems & Technologies segment also saw a 6% operational increase in Q1, with sales totaling $704 million, led by the Care and Connectivity Solutions division [10]. - The Pharmaceuticals segment reported 3% operational growth in Q1, with sales of $581 million, primarily driven by specialty injectables [11]. Other Sales and Revenue Streams - Other sales totaled $15 million in Q1, with drug compounding business growing 2% [12]. - MSA revenue from Vantive was reported at $63 million in Q1, with expectations of around $80 million for Q2 [12].