美债收益率周一走高，美联储会议与多数据成市场焦点

Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose slightly to 4.42%, while the 2-year yield remained stable at 3.91%, resulting in a widening of the yield spread between the 2-year and 10-year bonds by 2 basis points to 51 basis points [1] - The European Union announced a temporary trade agreement, reducing tariffs on U.S. imports to 15%, indicating a de-escalation in trade tensions [3] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50%, with a 97% probability of no change according to futures markets [3] Group 2 - The U.S. Treasury Department projected a significant increase in federal borrowing for the third quarter, raising expectations to $1.01 trillion, nearly double the previous estimate from April [3] - Multiple economic data releases are anticipated this week, including job vacancy surveys and non-farm payroll reports, which will provide insights into the impact of tariffs on inflation [3] - In the overseas bond market, European bonds showed little volatility, with German government bonds trending upward while French bonds mostly declined [4]