鹏华基金余展昌：银行、证券与保险或迎布局良机

Group 1: Banking Sector - The banking sector has shown significant performance since mid-March, driven by public fund reforms that enhance pricing power for the sector [1] - The recent issuance of the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" by the CSRC marks a milestone reform, which may lead to increased allocation towards previously underweighted stocks, benefiting banks [1] - The banking sector is expected to see marginal improvement in fundamentals from Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025, primarily due to alleviated pressure on non-interest income growth [1] Group 2: Securities Sector - The securities sector is highlighted for its strong performance, with leading ETFs showing over 30% net value growth in the past year [2] - Key variables influencing the sector include liquidity and policy, with a focus on trading volume and turnover rates as indicators of monetary policy [2] - The valuation of leading brokerage firms is at historical lows, presenting a compelling investment opportunity, especially as institutional allocations are expected to increase [2] Group 3: Insurance Sector - The insurance sector is benefiting from favorable policies, including reduced costs for existing liabilities and the removal of restrictions on bank-insurance partnerships [3] - The long-term interest rate trend stabilizing is advantageous for the asset side of insurance companies, while the net benefit value (NBV) on the liability side is expected to maintain an upward trend [3] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at the 30%-40% percentile over the past five years, indicating significant room for recovery as performance growth continues [3]