今晚过后成品油价不作调整，后市走势将如何变化

Group 1 - OPEC+ is expected to maintain a significant increase in production, with geopolitical tensions easing and uncertainties surrounding US tariffs persisting, leading to a higher probability of a price decrease in the next round of refined oil price adjustments [1][4] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that there will be no adjustment to domestic gasoline and diesel prices based on recent international oil price changes [1][2] - The domestic refined oil price has undergone fifteen adjustments this year, resulting in a pattern of "six increases, six decreases, and three stasis," with gasoline and diesel prices down by 225 yuan/ton and 215 yuan/ton respectively compared to the end of 2024 [2] Group 2 - During the current pricing cycle, international crude oil prices have fluctuated within a narrow range, with OPEC+ expected to hold a new meeting in early August and potentially complete the planned increase of 2.2 million barrels per day ahead of schedule in September [4] - The demand side remains strong due to the peak summer travel season in the US, which is expected to sustain fuel demand, while new trade agreements between the US, Japan, and the EU have alleviated some market concerns [4] - The next price adjustment window will open on August 12 at 24:00, with expectations leaning towards a price decrease in the upcoming round of refined oil price adjustments [4]