Should You Buy American Express While It's Below $315?

Core Viewpoint - American Express has demonstrated strong performance and resilience over the years, with a total return of 244% over the past five years, although future growth may not replicate this pace [2][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - American Express has increased its revenue by 8.4% year over year to $34.8 billion in the first half of 2025 [4]. - The company benefits from economic expansion and rising consumer spending, which supports sustainable growth [5]. - American Express has successfully attracted younger consumers, which could lead to long-term customer relationships as their financial situations improve [6]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages - American Express is recognized as a premium brand in the credit card industry, attracting affluent customers who present lower credit risk [7]. - The company charges higher processing fees to merchants, yet maintains a network of 100 million merchant locations that accept Amex payments, highlighting its value proposition [8]. - American Express operates its own payment infrastructure, creating a network effect that enhances its competitive position and makes disruption difficult [9]. Group 3: Valuation and Future Outlook - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for American Express is 21.9, near its highest level in three years, suggesting that the stock may be expensive [10]. - Management forecasts mid-teens earnings-per-share growth over the long term, indicating potential for the stock to double in five years if the P/E ratio remains constant [11].