新股前瞻|高岭土龙头金岩高新再赴港：左手翻倍净利，右手“金碗讨饭”

Core Viewpoint - Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New Materials Co., Ltd. is seeking to go public in Hong Kong after a previous application lapsed, highlighting its position as a leading player in China's coal-based kaolin industry with a comprehensive value chain integration [1][8]. Company Background - Established in 2012, the company is the largest producer of precision casting mullite materials in China, holding a market share of 19.1% as of 2024 [1]. - The company is primarily owned by Huainan Mining Group, which holds 60.13% of its shares, indicating a strong backing from a major player in the industry [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue figures for the company during the reporting periods are as follows: approximately 190.37 million RMB in 2022, 204.69 million RMB in 2023, and 267.14 million RMB in 2024 [2][3]. - The net profit and total comprehensive income for the same periods were 24.42 million RMB, 43.62 million RMB, and 52.60 million RMB respectively, showing significant growth [2][3]. - The gross profit margins for 2022, 2023, and 2024 were 30.2%, 34.8%, and 36.7% respectively, indicating improved profitability [3]. Product and Market Analysis - The majority of the company's revenue comes from precision casting mullite materials, which accounted for 100%, 92.6%, 88.9%, and 88.5% of total revenue during the reporting periods [4]. - The average selling price of precision casting mullite materials has been declining, from 1554 RMB/ton in 2022 to 1426 RMB/ton in 2024, alongside a decrease in sales volume [4][12]. - The market for precision casting mullite materials is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.4% from 2023 to 2028, down from 11.2% from 2019 to 2023 [8][9]. Operational Capacity - The company operates a kaolin mine with a licensed production capacity of 500,000 tons per year, but actual extraction rates have been significantly lower, indicating underutilization [11][12]. - Plans are in place to expand production capacity with a new line for refractory mullite materials, despite the market's modest growth expectations [8][12]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company has experienced fluctuations in cash flow, with net cash inflows from operating activities recorded at approximately 45.62 million RMB in 2022, dropping to 11.97 million RMB in 2023 [5][7]. - The cash and cash equivalents have decreased over the reporting periods, raising concerns about the sustainability of operations if cash flow issues persist [6][7].