Lemonade (LMND) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Lemonade (LMND) to report flat earnings with a quarterly loss of $0.81 per share, while revenues are expected to increase by 33.1% to $162.39 million compared to the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Report Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for August 5, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, missing estimates could lead to a decline [2]. - Management's discussion during the earnings call will significantly influence the stock's immediate price change and future earnings expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.67% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Lemonade is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +2.40% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10]. - Lemonade currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a high likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lemonade was expected to post a loss of $0.94 per share but actually reported a loss of -$0.86, resulting in a positive surprise of +8.51% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Lemonade has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While an earnings beat may not solely dictate stock movement, betting on stocks expected to exceed earnings expectations can enhance the odds of success [15][16]. - Lemonade is viewed as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [17].