Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH) May Report Negative Earnings: Know the Trend Ahead of Next Week's Release

Core Viewpoint - Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Porch Group is a loss of $0.13 per share, reflecting an 80% year-over-year improvement [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $96.56 million, which is a decrease of 12.9% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 42.86% higher, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Porch Group aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive ESP being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - Porch Group currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive revision trend [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Porch Group was expected to post a loss of $0.07 per share but instead reported earnings of $0.02, resulting in a surprise of +128.57% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Market Reaction - The stock price may increase if the upcoming earnings report exceeds expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - An earnings beat or miss is not the sole factor influencing stock movement, as other variables can also impact investor sentiment [15].