Will Cboe Global Pull Off a Surprise This Earnings Season?

Core Insights - Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) is anticipated to show improvements in both revenue and earnings for Q2 2025, with revenue expected at $572.24 million, reflecting an 11.3% year-over-year growth [2] - The earnings consensus estimate is $2.42 per share, indicating a 12.5% increase from the previous year, with a slight upward revision of 0.8% in the last 30 days [3] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CBOE's second-quarter revenues is $572.24 million, which is an 11.3% increase from the prior year [2] - The earnings estimate for the quarter is $2.42 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.5% [3] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likely earnings beat for Cboe Global, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.66% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4][5] Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Growth in index options, higher transaction and clearing fees, and increased access and capacity fees are expected to positively impact CBOE's Q2 performance [6] - Increased revenues from cash and spot markets, as well as derivatives markets, are anticipated due to higher transaction volumes on Cboe exchanges [7] Fee Structure and Revenue Breakdown - The company expects higher revenues from proprietary market data fees, with estimates of $81.1 million for market data revenues and $96.6 million for access and capacity fees [9] - Increased transaction and clearing fees are projected to benefit both cash and spot markets as well as the derivatives business [8] Product Performance - Cboe Global is expected to benefit from strong performance in proprietary products, including VIX futures and SPX options, along with growth in multi-listed options trading [12] - Continued share buybacks are anticipated to support the bottom line for the quarter [12]