PYPL Q2 Earnings Top Estimates, Shares Decline Despite Guidance Raise

Core Insights - PayPal Holdings reported second-quarter 2025 non-GAAP earnings of $1.40 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.7% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.6, driven by better-than-expected revenue growth [1][9] - The company raised its full-year guidance for transaction margin dollars and EPS while maintaining its outlook for free cash flow [2][11] Financial Performance - Net revenues reached $8.3 billion, marking a 5.1% year-over-year increase on a reported basis and 5% on a forex-neutral basis, surpassing the consensus estimate by 2.3% [2][9] - Total payment volume (TPV) was $443.5 billion, up 6% year-over-year on a reported basis and 5% on a forex-neutral basis [4][9] - Transaction revenues accounted for $7.4 billion (89.8% of net revenues), increasing by 4% year-over-year, while Value Added Services revenues rose 15.7% to $847 million (10.2% of net revenues) [5] Operational Metrics - Total active accounts grew by 2% year-over-year to 438 million, but total payment transactions declined by 5% to 6.2 billion [6] - Operating expenses were $6.78 billion, up 3.4% year-over-year, while the operating margin expanded by 134 basis points to 18.1% [7] Guidance and Future Outlook - For 2025, PayPal anticipates non-GAAP earnings between $5.15 and $5.30 per share, indicating 11-14% growth year-over-year, an increase from the previous range of $4.95-$5.10 [11] - The expected transaction margin dollars for 2025 are between $15.35 billion and $15.5 billion, suggesting growth in the 5-6% range [11] - For Q3 2025, non-GAAP earnings are projected to be between $1.18 and $1.22 per share, with transaction margin dollars expected between $3.76 billion and $3.82 billion [12] Shareholder Returns - PayPal generated $0.9 billion in cash from operations and returned $1.5 billion to shareholders through share repurchases in the second quarter [10]