IMF上调全球增长预期

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised the global economic growth forecast for the next two years, indicating a fragile global economy influenced by factors such as U.S. trade policies [1] - The IMF projects global economic growth of 3% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, which is an increase of 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points from the April forecast [1] - The upward revision is attributed to importers stockpiling goods in anticipation of potential U.S. tariff increases, leading to distortions in global economic activity [1] Group 2 - The growth forecast for emerging markets and developing economies has been raised by 0.4 and 0.1 percentage points for the next two years, now expected to be 4.1% and 4% respectively [1] - Developed economies also see an upward adjustment in growth forecasts by 0.1 percentage points for the next two years, now projected at 1.5% and 1.6% [1] - Economic policy uncertainty continues to pose a threat to global economic stability in the coming years [1]