港股早参丨创纪录！8400亿资金南下，港股中报期将至

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a collective decline on July 29, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 0.15% to 25,524.45 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 0.35% to 5,644.38 points, and the National Enterprises Index decreasing by 0.34% to 9,145.92 points [1] - Pharmaceutical stocks remained strong, while major tech and financial stocks showed weakness. Notable individual stock movements included Alibaba and BYD rising slightly, while Xiaomi dropped over 2.5% and Meituan and Kuaishou fell over 0.5% [1] Southbound Capital - Southbound capital has significantly increased its investment in the Hong Kong stock market this year, with a net purchase of HKD 12.72 billion on July 29. Cumulatively, southbound capital has net inflows exceeding HKD 840 billion this year, marking a historical high for annual net inflows [2] Key Messages 1. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported that the average daily trading volume for the first half of 2025 reached HKD 240.2 billion, a substantial increase of 118% year-on-year. The trading volume for ETFs surged to HKD 33.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 184% due to the expansion of the ETF interconnection plan and the continuous launch of new ETF products [3] 2. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the implementation of a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers, with the first licenses expected to be issued early next year. The stablecoins backed by offshore RMB must clearly define their use cases and reserve assets [3] 3. Major banks in Hong Kong have begun integrating Alibaba's AI technology, with Alibaba Cloud winning a project with China Construction Bank and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China applying Alibaba's Qwen model for smart risk control. This marks the first deep collaboration between national financial institutions and Alibaba in five years [3] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities forecasts that the mid-year earnings for Hong Kong stocks will be concentrated in release around mid to late August 2025. The overall revenue growth rate for the Hang Seng Index is expected to significantly increase compared to the same period last year, although profit growth may moderate. There is an enhanced confidence trend in certain sectors such as new consumption, technology, and pharmaceuticals, with upward revisions in earnings expectations prior to financial disclosures [4]