美政府施加空前压力，美联储议息会议牵动“鲍威尔命运”

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's July meeting is under intense scrutiny, with expectations to maintain interest rates unchanged, while President Trump and officials exert unprecedented pressure for a rate cut [1][3][5]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Meeting Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to keep the federal funds rate target range between 4.25% and 4.50% during the July meeting [6]. - Recent political pressure from the White House has intensified, with officials criticizing the Fed's current rate stance as unreasonable [3][5]. - The meeting is perceived as having significant implications for Fed Chairman Powell's future, particularly regarding his potential continuation in the role after May [1][3]. Group 2: Political Pressure and Implications - Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters was described as an unusual political maneuver aimed at undermining Powell's public image and pushing for lower interest rates [3]. - The pressure from Trump and other officials is linked to rising government debt, with interest payments nearing $1 trillion, which could impact budget allocations for other critical projects [5]. - Despite the political pressure, there is no indication that the Federal Reserve will yield to demands for an immediate rate cut, as it remains focused on economic data [6]. Group 3: Broader Economic Context - The Fed's decision-making is complicated by the potential economic impacts of Trump's tariff policies, which may slow economic activity while increasing inflation [6]. - The Fed has maintained rates since early 2025 after a cumulative cut of 100 basis points, with future cuts contingent on inflation remaining low [6].