集邦咨询：第三季返校消费旺季或有变量 MLCC订单需求将受到影响

Group 1 - TrendForce indicates that the demand for MLCC orders may be impacted due to the gradual decline of preemptive consumption and inventory accumulation, with the back-to-school season in Q3 facing uncertainties [1] - ODM orders for mid-to-low-end consumer products such as smartphones, laptops, and tablets are expected to remain flat or increase by only about 5% in Q3, reflecting a conservative order strategy [1] - AI Server orders are experiencing a surge, driven by the simultaneous release of NVIDIA's GB200 and GB300 platforms, leading to a nearly 25% average quarterly increase in MLCC stocking demand [1] Group 2 - The capacity utilization rates among MLCC suppliers show significant disparities, with Japanese and Korean manufacturers focusing on high-end AI applications averaging 90%, while Chinese manufacturers are around 75% [2] - MLCC suppliers are accelerating the establishment of testing and packaging production lines in Southeast Asia to achieve localized production [2] - OEMs are expected to face cost pressures, leading to potential price increases for end products as they release RFQ for 2026 mobile phones and laptops [2]