Group 1: Core Views - The US dollar index is positioned above the 50-day EMA, which has become an immediate support level [1] - The Australian core inflation cooling supports the Reserve Bank of Australia's potential rate cut in August [3] - Deutsche Bank retracts its prediction for further rate cuts by the European Central Bank, betting on a rate hike by the end of 2026 [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The IMF raised the US GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 1.8% to 1.9% [2] - Goldman Sachs upgraded its growth forecast for the Eurozone, expecting a 1.1% growth rate in 2025, up from a previous estimate of 1% [3] - Chile's central bank lowered the benchmark interest rate to 4.75% from 5.0% [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The US dollar index (DXY) maintains a steady upward channel, with prices above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [4] - The EUR/USD pair is expected to continue its downward trend, with the 20-day SMA acting as dynamic resistance around 1.1690 [4] - The AUD/USD pair faces immediate resistance at the 0.6550 level, with potential upward movement if it breaks the 0.6600 mark [4] Group 4: Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data to be released includes the US ADP employment numbers and Q2 GDP annualized rate [5][6] - The Canadian central bank will announce its interest rate decision and monetary policy report [5][6]
7月30日汇市晚评：澳大利亚核心通胀降温支持8月降息 澳元/美元未形成超买或超卖信号
Jin Tou Wang·2025-07-30 09:43