
Company Overview - TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings due to higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, representing a +70.8% change, and revenues expected to be $1.2 billion, up 41.3% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.69% higher over the last 30 days, reflecting a reassessment by covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TKO Group is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -48.11%, indicating a bearish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - TKO Group currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TKO Group had an earnings surprise of +43.75%, with actual earnings of $0.69 per share compared to an expected $0.48 [13]. - Over the last four quarters, TKO Group has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, Cinemark Holdings (CNK) is expected to post earnings of $0.78 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of +143.8%, with revenues expected to be $947.59 million, up 29.1% [18][19].