Genius Sports (US:GENI) ZACKS·2025-07-30 15:06Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Genius Sports Limited (GENI) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on August 6, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.00, indicating a year-over-year change of +100% [3][19]. - Revenues are projected to be $118.04 million, reflecting a 23.7% increase from the same quarter last year [3][19]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 145.21% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4][19]. - Despite the positive revision trend, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -875.19%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12][19]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but the predictive power is stronger for positive readings [9][10]. - Genius Sports Limited's combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12][20]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Genius Sports Limited had an expected loss of $0.05 per share but reported a loss of -$0.03, resulting in a surprise of +40.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While the company is not positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, investors should consider various factors beyond earnings expectations when evaluating the stock [17][20].