FOMC声明前,美联储本次按兵不动几成定局,9月降息概率接近60%
news flash·2025-07-30 17:52
FOMC声明前,美联储本次按兵不动几成定局,9月降息概率接近60% 金十数据7月31日讯,据CME"美联储观察":美联储今夜维持利率不变的概率为96.9%,降息25个基点的概率为3.1%。美联储9月 维持利率不变的概率为40.2%,累计降息25个基点的概率为57.9%,累计降息50个基点的概率为1.8%。 | 预测利率 | 2025.07.31 | 2025.09.18 | 2025.10.30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3.50%-3.75% | | | 0.9% | | 3.75%-4.00% | | 1.8% | 28.2% | | 4.00%-4.25% | 3.1% | 57.9% | 49.6% | | 4.25%-4.50%(当前利率) | 96.9% | 40.2% | 21.3% | @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 往后三次议息会议可能性预测 EXPECTATIONS OF NEXT THREE FOMC MEETINGS ...