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国金证券:首次覆盖爱玛科技给予买入评级,目标价56.64元
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-07-31 00:48

Core Viewpoint - Aima Technology (爱玛科技) is positioned for growth driven by product and channel optimization, with a target price of 56.64 yuan and a "buy" rating from Guojin Securities [1] Group 1: Product and Channel Optimization - The average selling price (ASP) is expected to rise due to advancements in three-electric technology and increased smart features in products [2] - The company is expanding its product line to attract a broader consumer base, particularly targeting male customers [2] - There is potential for channel growth with over 30,000 stores, focusing on improving store efficiency and upgrading locations in first and second-tier cities [2] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The electric two-wheeler industry is anticipated to benefit from new national standards, product launches, and trade-in policies, enhancing market conditions [2] - In the first half of 2025, domestic sales of electric two-wheelers are projected to reach 32.32 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29.5%, with Aima's sales growing by 39.2% [2] Group 3: New Growth Areas - The electric three-wheeler segment is expected to generate 1.95 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a gross margin of 22.4% and sales of 550,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29% [3] - Aima is expanding its brand internationally, with over 100 stores in Southeast Asia and plans to enter the European and American markets through e-bikes [3] Group 4: Financial Projections and Valuation - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.46 billion, 2.92 billion, and 3.32 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 23.8%, 18.8%, and 17.1% [4] - The company is valued at a 20x P/E ratio for 2025, aligning with its industry leadership and channel advantages [4]