Group 1 - The core focus of the market is on the core PCE price index, which is expected to provide direct guidance for the dollar and gold prices [1][5] - The latest ADP report indicates that private sector employment grew by 104,000 in July, exceeding market expectations of 75,000 [2] - The U.S. GDP annualized growth rate for Q2 is reported at 3.0%, reversing the previous quarter's decline of 0.5%, indicating a solid economic foundation [2] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates and emphasized that it is not in a hurry to cut rates, which has led to a rise in the dollar and a decline in gold prices [2] - The core PCE price index for June is expected to show a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, consistent with the previous month [4] - If the PCE data, particularly the core indicator, exceeds expectations, the dollar may strengthen further, negatively impacting other major currencies and gold [5] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are currently in a high-level consolidation phase, with key resistance at 3345 and support levels at 3270-3210 [6] - The monthly closing performance of gold is being closely monitored, with a significant focus on whether it can hold above the 3320 level [6] - Short-term outlook for gold remains bearish unless it breaks above the 3312 resistance level [6]
美国PCE通胀数据将出炉 黄金技术前景分析
Jin Tou Wang·2025-07-31 08:43