Texas Roadhouse(US:TXRH) ZACKS·2025-07-31 15:07Core Viewpoint - Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Texas Roadhouse is $1.95 per share, reflecting an increase of +8.9% year-over-year [3]. - Revenues are anticipated to reach $1.5 billion, which is a 12.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.35% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Texas Roadhouse is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.39%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Texas Roadhouse's current Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Texas Roadhouse was expected to post earnings of $1.75 per share but delivered only $1.70, resulting in a surprise of -2.86% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Comparison - In the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, McDonald's (MCD) is expected to report earnings of $3.15 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of +6.1% [18]. - McDonald's revenue is projected to be $6.71 billion, up 3.5% from the previous year, with a positive Earnings ESP of +0.43% [19][20].