Earnings Preview: Brighthouse Financial (BHF) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Brighthouse Financial's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Brighthouse Financial is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.70 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 15.6% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $2.2 billion, down 0.8% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.12% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Brighthouse Financial is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.80% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Brighthouse Financial currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Brighthouse Financial was expected to post earnings of $4.72 per share but delivered only $4.17, resulting in a surprise of -11.65% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Comparison - Primerica, another player in the life insurance industry, is expected to report earnings of $5.17 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of 9.8% [18]. - Primerica's revenues are expected to be $787.18 million, up 4.5% from the previous year, with a positive Earnings ESP of +0.14% [19].