PBF Energy (PBF) Q2 Revenue Falls 14%

Core Viewpoint - PBF Energy reported a mixed performance in Q2 2025, with non-GAAP earnings per share of $(1.03), surpassing analyst expectations, but both earnings and revenue declined year-over-year, with revenue down 14.4% [1][2] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP EPS was $(1.03), better than the estimate of $(1.26) but a 90.7% decrease from $(0.54) in Q2 2024 [2] - Revenue was $7.48 billion, exceeding estimates by over $500 million, but down from $8.74 billion in Q2 2024 [1][2] - Income from operations was $43 million, a recovery from a loss of $(74.6) million in the previous year [2] - EBITDA decreased by 39.9% year-over-year, reflecting operational challenges [2] - Gross refining margin per barrel was $8.38, a slight increase from $8.12 in Q2 2024 [2] Operational Challenges - The Martinez refinery's partial shutdown significantly impacted production, averaging 845,800 barrels per day, down from 926,700 barrels per day in Q2 2024 [5] - West Coast throughput dropped to 203,500 barrels per day from 296,700 barrels per day year-over-year, with gross margin per barrel turning negative due to outages and compliance costs [5][6] - Operational expenses per barrel increased to $7.96 from $6.94 in Q2 2024, with West Coast expenses particularly high at $15.73 per barrel [6] Market Dynamics - Brent crude oil prices averaged $67.70 per barrel, down from $85.02 in Q2 2024, affecting overall performance [7] - RIN costs rose significantly from $3.38 to $6.14 per barrel-equivalent, inflating compliance costs, especially in California [8] - California is projected to need over 250,000 barrels per day of gasoline imports due to refinery closures, with PBF's refineries expected to be essential suppliers [9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on operational efficiency, cost containment, and restoring damaged assets, with a target of over $200 million in annualized savings from the RBI initiative [4] - Management expects full operations at the Martinez facility to resume by year-end 2025, contingent on regulatory and supply chain timelines [6][12] Financial Position - Total debt increased to $2.39 billion as of June 30, 2025, from $1.46 billion at the end of 2024, with a total debt to capitalization ratio rising to 31% [11] - The company maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.275 per share despite recent losses [11][14] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, management forecasts throughput of 865,000–915,000 barrels per day, an increase from Q2 2025 but still below last year's levels [12] - Full-year 2025 capital expenditure guidance remains at $750–775 million, excluding Martinez repairs [12] - Management did not provide formal forward earnings guidance for fiscal 2025, citing ongoing market volatility as a key concern [13]